Belfast Telegraph

China boosts world prospects as economic growth expands

By James Thompson

The growth prospects for the global economy have been given a fillip after China's manufacturing sector posted a third consecutive month of expansion.

The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) of the world's most populous country was 50.6 in December, which matched November's seven-month high and reflects increased spending on infrastructure projects and growth in sectors, such as car manufacturing and electronics.

A PMI figure above 50 indicates expansion for the massive factory base in China and will be welcomed by governments in the US, UK, Eurozone and Japan, which are either in recession or finding sustained growth elusive.

The previously breakneck economic growth in China, the world's second-biggest economy, had slowed for seven consecutive quarters to 7.4% between July and September last year.

But this and another survey this week point to an acceleration in the final quarter to a forecast 7.8%.

The bank HSBC's survey, which focuses more on smaller businesses, revealed a PMI of 51.5 for China in December - the highest since May 2011.

In a research note, Lu Ting, the chief Greater China economist at Bank of America, said: "Most data, especially the industrial earnings, have been pointing to an impressive recovery."

However, China's National Bureau of Statistics struck a cautious tone.

It said: "Output has stayed above the 50-mark, showing that the manufacturing industry appears to maintain growth expectations but the rate of growth has weakened."

Even if China delivered estimated economic growth of 7.7% in 2012, this would still mark its weakest output for 11 years.

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