Lindy McDowell: We'll never forget you, Big Man
Wednesday, March 05, 2008
Never! Never! Never! Och, well, all right then . . . sometime in May. In the
end the surprise news that Rev Ian RK Paisley had finally decided to step
down as DUP leader, First Minister and Chuckle Sibling, came as no big
surprise to anyone.
It was generally accepted at Stormont that with the departure of Ian Junior
who resigned as junior minister in his father's office only a couple of
weeks ago, the Big Man - who is of course, now quite an elderly man - -would
find the going very tough indeed.
With the son gone, the father
didn't wholly have a ghost of a chance of keeping on top of his game.
All the same . . . Used as we now may be to previously unimaginable new
relationships up at Stormont, there is still a sense of gulp in the air.
Not over the farewell itself. But the political obituary. Ian Paisley, fondly
remembered - by Martin McGuinness.
There was a time when Ian
Paisley the Younger (not the son, but the father back in his fire and
brimstone days) would have chuckled, or choked, at that.
Never,
never, never? You said it, Ian. The real political obituary of course will
be written by history. Not by today's media. Or even a Deputy First Minister.
For the rest of us the interesting part is what happens now. The smart money -
let's face it, all the money - is on Peter Robinson to succeed. Robinson is
a savvy political operator and will want to sustain the stability of the
Stormont administration.
But it is extremely difficult to imagine
quite the same degree of chuckle-some bonhomie between himself and Mr McG.
From Chuckle Brothers to the Brothers Grim?
The DUP have had the
distinct advantage of months, possibly years of preparation for this day.
But what of the other part of the Chuckle Coalition? Change of leadership in
one political party oddly often has a knock-on effect. It's a bit like
getting a new sofa for the living room. Suddenly it shows up all the old
paintwork.
Similarly a shiny new leader (well, newish) tends to
have the other parties wondering if they aren't due a revamp too.
Which raises the question of Gerry. He resurfaced again at the weekend for a
party conference. But generally Gerry Adams has been playing a backbench
role of late. Watching him in the Assembly these days, you find yourself
asking: "Didn't he used to be a major political player in these parts?"
It may be a false impression. But these days Gerry looks like a boy
also considering a move towards the commemorative clock and pension plan.
And let's face it, if he was a football manager there would have long since
been a revolt on the terraces. In terms of results, Gerry can hardly be said
to have delivered. No Irish unity. No sweeping the boards down south.
Who would replace him though? Martin, the eternal sidekick is surely too much
associated with the old regime to bring that new breath of fresh air - and
confidence - that Sinn Fein so obviously needs.
It would be a bit
like replacing Blair with Brown. And we all saw how successful that was.
Ian Paisley no longer has to worry about leadership challenge. The political
obituaries of the man whose own initials are RIP will note he Retired in
Peacetime. History will take a wider, cooler look.
For the rest of
us, it's a very different political RIP that will impact on our futures now.
A new era dawns.
Robinson in Power.