Should the human race be worried by the rise of robots?
Wednesday, 25 April 2007
What is meant by a robot? Haven't we long had machines that appear to be alive? Paul Vallely asks the Big Question
Why do you ask?
A group of scientists raised concerns in a debate at the Science Museum this
week about the growing use of autonomous, decision-making robots. These
could have malign effects in hospitals, the care of the elderly and, most
obviously, in military use, they warned.
What is meant by a robot?
There is no one definition which satisfies everybody but, broadly speaking,
it is a machine that draws information from the environment and then makes
decisions about how to move and act. It can sense things around it and
manipulate them, in accordance with some kind of computer programme - a
combination which is popularly, but misleadingly, called artificial
intelligence. It's misleading because it gives people the impression that
the machine has agency or intent. Indeed, some robots are deliberately
designed to enhance that illusion.
Haven't we long had machines that appear to be alive?
Yes, in both fiction and fact. The Greek myths had a god of metalwork,
Hephaestus (the Romans called him Vulcan), who created mechanical servants
that could move under their own power. The Greek mathematician Archytas
designed a mechanical bird propelled by steam. Leonardo da Vinci left
detailed drawings for a mechanical knight. The medieval Persians created
mechanical snakes, a French inventor came up with a mechanical duck that was
able to eat grain and flap its wings, and an ingenious Indian made a
mechanical tiger eating a British soldier.
Isn't all this just sci-fi fantasy?
Robots feature more in novels and films than they do in scientific
literature. Fears that robots might develop a will of their own and enslave
or destroy the human race have fascinated science-fiction writers. Many
think it will never leave the realm of fiction. "The idea of machine
consciousness is a bit of a fairytale," said Noel Sharkey, professor of
computer science at the University of Sheffield, this week. Having said
that, robots are able to do more now than ever before.
What kind of robots exist today?
Car-production plants have extremely sophisticated machines, capable of a
huge range of delicate and accurate actions, in the painting, welding and
assembly of cars. Commonly called robots, they act with greater precision
than any human could and have revolutionised dull, dirty and dangerous
tasks. But most are not true robots because they are pre-programmed, rather
than responding to stimuli. The same is true of Automated Guided Vehicles,
which shift goods around docks, warehouses and hospitals. They navigate
following wires, markers or laser-beams.
Robot cars are being developed in America for the Darpa Grand Challenge
sponsored by the US Department of Defence. In 2005, several cars completed a
132-mile course of difficult off-road terrain, successfully avoiding
obstacles such as rocks and trees. This year's contest, in November, will
require vehicles to negotiate an urban environment, overtaking other traffic.
So it's all just experimental?
Not entirely. More than a million robot Roomba vacuum cleaners have been
sold in the United States. They clean carpets by changing direction whenever
they bump into walls or furniture. Infra-red sensors prevent the unit from
falling off ledges, and dirt sensors detect patches that need an extra
clean. True, they take several times as long to do the job as a person
would, cover some areas many times and miss others altogether. But they are
genuinely autonomous.
In Japan, where people are more culturally disposed to accept robots, a
children's companion device known as the PaPeRo is on the market which is
capable of "face identification" to remember individuals. It knows
if someone is missing from a group, and can "talk" to its owner,
reacting when it is patted or touched. It "dances" if a child
touches it and sings. It can transmit an image of what it "sees"
to an absent parent from a mobile phone and allow the parent to talk through
its voicebox.
What else is about to be invented?
The Japanese are working on a robot which will follow an elderly person
around, carrying their medicine, and reminding them when to take it. It will
take blood-pressure readings and send out an alarm by mobile phone if the
result indicates danger, or if their "companion" doesn't move for
a set period of time or makes a gesture of alarm.
But it is in military use that most work is ongoing. In Korea, where the
government has set a goal of having a robot in every home by 2020, Samsung -
in partnership with a Korean university - is developing a sentry robot with
two cameras, one for day, one for night. Sophisticated pattern-recognition
will detect the difference between movement by humans and trees. Its 5.5mm
machine-gun can be programmed to shoot-to-kill targets up to 500 metres
away. Expected to sell for $200,000 (£100,000) each it will, one techno
website says, "further ease relations" between South and North
Korea.
Military use of robots is increasing fast. The US military has unmanned
aerial vehicles armed with hellfire missiles. "At present they require
a human to give, by remote, permission to fire," says Owen Holland,
professor of computer science at the University of Essex, "but it will
not be long before they can take the human out of the loop." The
Pentagon has commissioned, he says, a small helicopter fitted with a
recoil-less rifle which can be programmed to track and kill a particular
individual.
What's all this about 'robot rights'?
A study commissioned by the Government recently suggested that one day
robots might have to be given similar rights to humans, including the right
to vote. "If granted full rights, states will be obligated to provide
full social benefits to them including income support, housing and possibly
robo-healthcare to fix the machines over time," it said. It was
speaking to the sci-fi, rather than the science, agenda. "It was very
shallow, superficial and poorly informed," said Professor Holland.
But do these changes raise moral issues?
Potentially, a whole host. "I am much more worried about robot autonomy
than robot intelligence," said another of the scientists, Alan
Winfield, professor of electrical engineering at the University of the West
of England. Even the greatest enthusiasts admit that we are at least 50
years off proper artificial intelligence. "But it is likely that we
will have autonomous dumb robots very soon."
Do we want our old folk to be looked after by machines rather than people?
Will wars be launched more readily if all we have to deploy is machines, not
men? "These are not questions for the future," says Professor
Holland, "They are questions we need to be debating now."
So are these machines a threat?
Yes...
The Japanese are trying to create a robot that will take over childminding
and care of the elderly from human beings
The Koreans are working on a robot sentry that can distinguish the movement
of people and shoot them on sight
The US military have commissioned a robot helicopter with a recoil-less
rifle capable of tracking and killing a particular individual
No...
Robots are taking over tasks which are deemed dull, dirty and dangerous
The idea of robots with greater intelligence than humans is at least 50
years away, and may never come
It's not the robots we need to worry about; it's the people who programme
them
Above: Honda's ASIMO robot in action
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