Belfast Telegraph

Friday 19 September 2014

'Few signs' of house price rebound

House prices slipped in June to 165,738 pounds on average, the biggest fall since August 2009

House prices have recorded their weakest annual growth in nearly three years amid the "challenging" economy, the Nationwide has said.

Prices slipped 1.5% year-on-year in June to £165,738 on average, the biggest fall since August 2009, according to the building society's latest house price index.

The study suggested the decline, which also showed a 0.6% month-on-month decrease, was partly due to the ending of a stamp duty concession for first-time buyers in March, which had the effect of bunching up sales.

It said there were "few signs of a near-term rebound", as economic conditions remain tough.

Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, said prices are likely to remain "fairly stable" over the next 12 months amid a lack of homes on the market, continuing a trend seen over the past two years.

There are hopes that a "funding for lending" scheme announced by the Bank of England and the Treasury earlier this month could help kick-start lending.

Analysts have said this may put the brakes on recent rate increases although those currently unable to get a mortgage may see little improvement.

Mr Gardner said: "The slightly weaker trend we've observed since March is unsurprising, given the difficult economic backdrop, with the UK economy dipping back into recession at the start of the year and few signs of a near-term rebound."

He added: "Economic conditions are expected to remain challenging over the next 12 months. However, policymakers' efforts to bolster the supply of credit to the economy and to help lower the cost should provide support to demand."

Nationwide said the volatility caused by the ending of the stamp duty holiday for first-time buyers made it even harder to uncover the underlying trend. Mortgage lending to first-time buyers in March totalled £3 billion, around 40% above usual levels. Nationwide estimated that more than 200,000 first-time buyers benefited from the concession during the two years it was in place, saving a total of nearly £375 million or around £1,800 each.

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