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How would you vote in an Ireland border poll?

Brexit 'has not affected border poll views' survey finds - but should we have a vote?

By Staff Reporter

Published 09/09/2016

'Fewer than one in five of the people interviewed by Ipsos Mori for BBC Northern Ireland's political programme The View said the Brexit decision had influenced how they would vote in a border poll'
'Fewer than one in five of the people interviewed by Ipsos Mori for BBC Northern Ireland's political programme The View said the Brexit decision had influenced how they would vote in a border poll'

More than eight out of 10 people in Northern Ireland say the UK's decision to leave the European Union has not changed the way they would vote in a future border poll, according to a new survey. But should we have a vote? Take our poll below.

And fewer than one in five of the people interviewed by Ipsos Mori for BBC Northern Ireland's political programme The View said the Brexit decision had influenced how they would vote in a border poll.

In the wake of June's referendum result, Sinn Fein demanded that the Secretary of State call a border poll, and the Republic's Department of Foreign Affairs in Dublin also reported a sharp rise in the number of people from Northern Ireland applying for Irish passports.

More than 1,000 people were interviewed by Ipsos Mori face-to-face at locations across Northern Ireland between mid-August and early September.

A third of those interviewed (33%) want the Government to call a border referendum.

However, more than a half (52%) opposed such a move. Opposition was strongest amongst those with a Protestant background, with 72% against holding a border poll.

More: 

Over 50,000 take part in our united Ireland border poll - here's how they voted  

How did your town vote in our united Ireland border poll?

If such a poll was held, a clear majority of people, 63%, said that they would vote for Northern Ireland to remain in the UK, while only 22% would support a united Ireland.

And 13% of those polled do not know how they would vote, and another 2% would not vote.

Asked whether the result of June's EU referendum had changed their views on Northern Ireland's constitutional future, 83% said the Brexit decision had not altered their position. Only 17% indicated it had changed their thinking.

Those whose views had been influenced by the EU result were slightly more likely to be female, from a Catholic background and drawn from the affluent AB social classes.

Under the Good Friday Agreement, the Northern Ireland Secretary is supposed to call a border poll if it appears likely to him that a majority would vote for a united Ireland.

"Although the Ipsos Mori survey suggests a slight increase in support for a united Ireland, given that less than a quarter of the people of Northern Ireland would vote for a change, it seems unlikely that the UK Government will shift its position on calling a border poll in the near future," BBC News NI Political editor Mark Devenport said.

 

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