May Day weekend - sunny or showery?
As the May Day Bank Holiday approaches, can you expect to be reaching for the bottle of sun tan lotion or for your cagoule?
Much of the UK will start dry on Saturday with some sunshine. However, cloudier skies and outbreaks of rain already affecting Northern Ireland, western parts of Wales and south-westernmost England will slowly edge north-eastwards through the day.
There is some uncertainty over how quickly the rain will edge north-eastwards but it looks as though by mid-evening it is likely to cover all areas except northern and eastern Scotland and north-east England.
The rain will turn heavy and persistent across Northern Ireland, Wales and south-west England, and south-easterly winds will freshen across the UK.
Lingering rain in northern areas on Sunday should become confined to Scotland through the afternoon.
Elsewhere across the UK, some sunny intervals are expected to develop but this will lead to the risk of showers breaking out. Many of the showers are likely to be heavy and there is the chance of hail and a few thunderstorms. Strong south-easterly winds are expected across Scotland, but it should be less windy elsewhere.
Rain still affecting Scotland initially on Monday looks to ease and move away to the north-east to leave a generally drier day across the UK with sunny spells as a ridge of high pressure moves in from the south-west.
However, a few scattered showers are still possible, most likely in eastern areas, with gentle winds for most places.
It is also set to become warmer than recently with highs of around 17C (62.6F) in south-east England.
Indeed, the good news for gardeners is we should at last get some milder nights throughout the weekend after some cold recent nights (the temperature at Katesbridge plummeted to minus 8C/17.6F last Sunday night).
So, for those planning outdoor activities this bank holiday weekend, the best chance of dry conditions look to be the further north and east you are on Saturday and then more generally across the UK on Monday.
However, with showers or rain never too far away throughout the three days, it is probably worthwhile making sure your umbrellas and waterproofs are always close to hand.
MeteoGroup is Europe's largest independent weather forecast provider.