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One in three MPs to be female as record 200 women expected to reach Commons

A minimum of 200 women in the House of Commons would mean nearly one in three MPs is female.

A record number of female MPs are likely to be elected to parliament on June 8, even if Labour slumps to its worst result since the war, new analysis has revealed.

Some 200 women could take their place in the House of Commons if the Conservatives win an increased majority, up nine on the total elected at the 2015 general election.

The number is roughly the same whether there is a small swing to the Tories or whether the party enjoys a landslide victory.

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(PA)

Were Labour to defy the opinion polls and end up the largest party in a hung parliament, however, the number of women MPs could rise as high as 212.

The Press Association has calculated the figures by projecting the seats that would change hands on June 8 based on a variety of outcomes.

A minimum of 200 women in the House of Commons would mean nearly one in three MPs is female.

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Theresa May would spearhead the biggest drop of female Conservative MPs. (Dominic Lipinski/PA)

Around 92 would be Conservatives, the largest number in the party’s history and a big jump on the 68 elected in 2015.

Labour would have around 82 female MPs, down from 99 in 2015 and well below the party’s all-time high of 101 in 1997.

Responding to the PA’s findings, chief executive of the Electoral Reform Society Katie Ghose welcomed the likely rise in female MPs, but described the increase on 2015 as “glacial”.

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Some of the female MPs in 2014. (Stefan Rousseau/PA)

“It shows there is much more to be done to achieve gender equality in politics and public life,” she said.

“Whatever the result on June 8 – and it looks like there will be a small rise in the proportion of women elected – parties need to up their game, not just for the next Parliamentary elections but for our local councils, metro mayor roles and institutions across the UK.

“We cannot settle for incremental change. It’s time for some real momentum on women’s representation in politics.”

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Arlene Foster and Nicola Sturgeon are prominent female politicians in Northern Ireland and Scotland. (Jeff J Mitchell/PA)

The PA’s figures also show that were every party to win exactly the same seats as at the 2015 general election, a total of 206 women MPs would be elected, up 15 on the number in 2015.

In the event of a large Tory majority, the amount of female MPs in England could fall from 177 to 167.

By contrast, the number in Wales and Scotland would increase, from nine to 10 and 18 to 20 respectively.

Northern Ireland would see no change, with two female MPs elected.

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