Brown facing ticking time bomb on Europe
Friday, 14 December 2007
Such scepticism is the EU's own doing. The European idea, a noble concept
which arose from the ashes of war, has gone badly wrong, victim of the
Napoleonic ambitions of little men. Their Lisbon treaty is so unpopular that
those signing it yesterday dared not ask their electorates at home to vote
on it.
The Irish will do so - because, to Bertie Ahern's dismay,
he finds that, constitutionally, they are obliged to. Only last month,
Nicolas Sarkozy told a closed meeting of Euro MPs he could not win a
referendum in France, nor, he said, could Prime Minister Gordon Brown in
Great Britain. This is because the people are not ready to abandon the
nation state.
They accept the enlightened European vision of
co-operative endeavour: but to European Government, they firmly say 'No'.
When faced with this challenge, the resolve at the top of the EU is that the
will of the people must be ignored, thus displaying the absolutist cast of
mind which is at the core of their sickness.
In the collision, the
most sensitive victim is the UK. The citizens of Athens may have invented
democracy, but it was the English who adapted it as a workable system in a
modern civilisation. In Britain the smooth evolution of that democracy has
not been interrupted for the best part of four centuries. But such
continuity is unknown elsewhere in the EU.
Angela Merkel, the
German Chancellor, is a former Secretary for Agitation and Propaganda in
Free German Youth, the young communists' organisation in East Germany - and
she remained an activist in the Communist Party until the Berlin wall came
down in 1989. Italian democracy dates only from Mussolini's demise and the
end of the Second World War. The current complexion of Italian society is
indicated by the status of the mafia as the nation's largest industry, the
revenues from its gangsterism representing 7% of Italy's GDP.
Democracy in Spain dates from shortly after the death of the fascist
dictator, Francisco Franco, and is a mere 30 years old. Portugal's is only
10 years older. The nation where Mr Barroso, the President of the EU
Commission, was once prime minister, suffered a coup by its army in 1926 and
shortly thereafter was ruled by the dictator, Antonio Salazar, who
ruthlessly suppressed all opposition and retained power until 1968. As for
France, when the Germans invaded in 1940, the Third Republic collapsed and
the Nazis found an almost embarrassing surfeit of fellow-travellers among
Vichy's fascists, willing to herd their own fellow-citizens, crammed like
cattle, into the trucks bound for Auschwitz, Sobibor and Treblinka.
That the British should be sceptical of the notion that they should be
increasingly bound by the decisions made by these infant democrats should
surprise no one. Under the new constitution Brown signed yesterday, the UK
loses its right of veto in 49 (or is it 54 - or 60?) policy areas. No one
seems to know precisely, because the actual figure is carefully suppressed.
This will happen because more and more decisions will be taken by 'qualified
majority' voting - each nation having a fixed number of votes according to
its population. Until now, the major partners each have had an equal number
of votes. Now Britain will have fewer than Germany, for example, and will be
liable to be outvoted on key issues (like the common foreign policy being so
assiduously pushed). Even more vitally, once the Treaty is ratified at
Westminster (only the Lords can stop it now), removal of the veto and the
extension of majority voting mean that the way will be open for the
continuous extension of EU powers over domestic affairs - and for the
enlargement of the EU itself: the process will be unstoppable.
There is already disquiet over endemic mismanagement within the EU, which
climaxed eight years ago when the entire Commission was obliged to resign
over the tide of fraud, graft and sheer incompetence. Ignoring the popular
will on a vital issue like the new constitution is no way to improve things.
Gordon Brown has influential referendum rebels already in the open on the
Government benches and Tories and Liberals opposite are massed against him.
By forsaking democracy, he strengthens the sceptics and takes on board a
ticking bomb.
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