Belfast Telegraph

Thursday 18 December 2014

David Gordon: First Minister has tough selling job ahead

DUP leader Peter Robinson (left) and Sinn Fein's Martin McGuinness during a press conference after a deal was announced about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government.
DUP leader Peter Robinson (left) and Sinn Fein's Martin McGuinness during a press conference after a deal was announced about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government.
Prime Minister Gordon Brown (left), DUP leader Peter Robinson (centre left), Sinn Fein's Martin McGuinness (centre right) and Taoiseach Brian Cowen (right) during a press conference after a deal was announced about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government
Sinn Fein's Gerry Adams looks at a copy of the agreement after a deal was announced about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government at the press conference in Hillsborough
Prime Minister Gordon Brown and his Irish counterpart Brian Cowen at the roundtable session of the assembly to discuss the deal the DUP and Sinn Fein have agreed over the devolution of policing and justice powers from Westminster to Northern Ireland.
The First Minister's microphone before a press conference in Hillsborough, to announce a deal about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government.
Secretary of State for Northern Ireland (far left) looks on as Prime Minister Gordon Brown (centre left), DUP leader Peter Robinson (centre right) and Sinn Fein's Martin McGuinness (right) speak during a press conference after a deal was announced about Northern Ireland's power-sharing government.
Gerry Adams with his party colleagues as a deal in policing and justice has been done at Hillsborough Castle
A copy of the deal on the devolution of policing and justice powers which the DUP and Sinn Fein have agreed upon at Hillsborough Castle.

The deal at Hillsborough Castle ties the DUP's prospects in with the fortunes of Stormont's power-sharing administration.

It will not be fighting the General Election on a platform of having faced down Sinn Fein demands for the devolution of policing powers.

Instead, it will presumably present itself as having taken tough decisions in the interests of unionism and to move Northern Ireland forward.

That will require the new deal to stick, which means Peter Robinson has an important selling job.

He will enjoy the fact that he kept his MLAs on board this week, despite all the speculation about divisions.

However, some colleagues were hardly rushing to stand shoulder to shoulder with him yesterday.

The first crunch issue is looming, with the new panel on parading given until February 23 to produce a way forward.

Will it contain enough to convince all DUP MLAs to vote for the devolution of policing powers in early March?

The expectation is that the Parades Commission will be replaced.

But the overall balance of power is unlikely to shift significantly towards the loyal orders. When it comes to disputed routes, it will remain messy and complicated, involving local dialogue and some rulings by a Commission-style body.

The Ulster Unionists are in no hurry to give Mr Robinson cover. They have their own electoral interests, plus the scars from all those DUP brickbats over the Good Friday Agreement.

However, Sir Reg Empey is in a delicate position too. The recent mixed messages on unionist unity and the Tory pact could hardly have been sent out at a worse time.

Saying no to this week's deal seems a non-starter. It is supposed to be in the pro-power sharing camp and the TUV has anyway already claimed the ground to the DUP's right.

Sir Reg's pact partner David Cameron will want the deal to work. If he makes it to Downing Street, he will have enough to do without worrying about Stormont.

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