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If we do vote Leave, we must heed Canadian warning that this will cause major disruption to our country

Published 22/06/2016

Belfast Telegraph letters to the Editor
Belfast Telegraph letters to the Editor

One of the most unsavoury aspects of the European referendum is the appeal by Brexit campaigners against immigration as its main reason why we should go it alone.

That campaign has capitalised on fear of immigration and the "utopia" where immigration is ended and economic prosperity restored - despite the fact that we do much of our trade with the EU.

The European Union has become larger than any individual economy in the world and its GDP surpassed that of the USA in 2003.

Trade from the UK to the EU in 2014 accounted for 44.6% of UK exports of goods and services and 53.2% of UK imports of goods and services.

The Treasury, the Bank of England, the IMF and most respected economists have warned of the impact that Brexit will have on an already-fragile economy.

However, if those arguments do not persuade us to remain, what can be achieved by leaving and going it alone? If it is really a concern at the impact of immigration, can a post-Brexit UK manage to restore trading links, while, at the same time, refuse entry to immigrants?

Most of those favouring leaving the EU rely on the example of Norway, which voted No, but which has now restored economic ties. Norway's prime minister, Erna Solberg, has confirmed that, in exchange for access to the internal EU market, Norway has to adopt a large number of EU laws, such as the free movement of workers, without any say in how these laws are created.

Following Brexit, there is a minimum two years (the period laid down in the Lisbon treaty) of uncertainty before we can start to negotiate terms. Canada was able to negotiate trade terms with the EU only after 10 years.

The Canadians have expressed the view that the British electorate needs to confront the fact that, if they vote to leave the EU, it will disrupt not only their country, but the world at large, wreaking havoc on the global economy for a generation.

They have also indicated that another fallout of Brexit is that it could stall the implementation of the Canada-EU free trade deal and imperil the jobs of thousands of Canadians working in hundreds of British companies.

ALD TOM CAMPBELL (ALLIANCE)

Antrim & Newtownabbey Council

Belfast Telegraph

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