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Why Pope’s right that condoms won’t solve African Aids crisis

By Kevin Myers
Friday, 27 March 2009

Who would be Pope Benedict? The poor German has merely to say “good morning”, and the liberal tabloids are shrieking: “Thousands dead in Sudan; famine across the world; ecological disaster everywhere — and Hitler Youth Pontiff thinks it's A GOOD MORNING!”

There is no falsehood that you can attribute to the Pope which will not instantly be believed by the liberal media, and the attack-dogs in the commentariat within. Insane interpretations are routinely grafted onto his most innocent observations, as happened last Christmas when his careful and subtly connected thoughts about climate change and the roles of the genders were put into the Catholic-hating media blender.

A micro-second later, out came the result, and the internet, the Coliseum of our age, was hysterically denouncing the Pope for saying that gay love was causing global warming and the death of the planet. So when I heard that he had spoken out about the ineffectiveness of condoms in preventing Aids, I knew what would follow. And by God — if He will forgive this unusually appropriate invocation of His Name in this column — I was right.

For what is it about sex which so diminishes rational thought? If the owners of a nuclear power station said that its current safety measures permitted a “mere” 5pc chance of it leaking plutonium onto visitors, how many of our condom-enthusiasts would be queuing to get into the place? Yet Aids is a sexual plutonium, which not merely will kill you, your spouse, your lovers, but also your children. Look. It's simple. As part of an anti-Aids programme, condoms are unnecessary within a sexually continent people — Loreto nuns, say, or married couples who don't stray from the marital bed.

But condoms will not prevent the spread of Aids amongst a general population of sexually promiscuous individuals. Even if used conscientiously (which never happens in public health programmes) the best condoms in the world have a failure rate of around 5pc.

Thus, actuarially, within a population group of say 20,000, there will on average be 1,000 failures on each occasion its members have sex. Not merely will these failures usually be random, so too will the consequences.

In time, a very large number of the condom-using group will become infected by Aids. This is not a probability: it is an epidemiological certainty. Even to contemplate having full sexual intercourse, with a rubber sheath a few microns thick as the sole protection against the transmission of one the most deadly diseases the world has ever known, is simply to seek the comforts of a modernistic juju. Yet the liberal-left will not merely endorse this juju, but they will lynch (in that caring, compassionate way they have) anyone who casts doubt on its potency.

This is 21st century witchdoctor worship, as practised by white, post-Christian, well-educated secularists. In this viral scrabble, Voodoo leads to VD, and VD leads to HIV, and HIV to Aids, and Aids leads to RIP: all very slow, all very horrible, and all so very certain.

Researchers have arrived at the same conclusion: no public health programme based on condoms has ever succeeded in eradicating, or even seriously lowering, the rate of any sexual infection amongst a general population.

The Aids epidemic amongst homosexuals in the US was different. It was tackled by a massive change in habit within a highly focussed and self-aware community, largely drawn from the richest and most highly educated people in the world. These terms cannot be used about the populations of most of Africa, where illiteracy is enormous, and where condoms are either not available, or the Catholic Church has no practical influence.

So, it's simply not the case that tens of millions of Africans are actually refusing to use condoms because of the Pope's instructions; and nor is it the case that they would start to use them the moment he waved his crosier.

Indeed, he is about as much a moral guiding-force on how the majority of Africans live their sex lives as he is on the movement of the continental land masses. Now, we civvies are able to say things that the Pope cannot. We might suggest, for example, that young people — who are going to have pelvic refreshment, come what may (so to speak), no matter what their elders tell them — should enjoy non-penetrative sex before they settle down into a monogamous relationship. The holder of the keys of the Vatican really cannot be heard, ex-cathedra, to be urging young men and women to engage in non-penetrative sex rather than to be engaging in full-blown sex. Moreover, the judicious absence of any recent Papal condemnation of non-penetrative sexual pleasure might well be a clue to what he actually means. But he just can't say that. He's the Pope, remember, not Mary O'Conor.

What ever people may say or thing or do, there are only two sides. Wrong or Right. Sex before or outside marriage is wrong. Condom use simply promotes the spread of HIV/AIDS. we have the evidence here in Zimbabwe. only when people changed their behaviour and started abstaining from casual sex did the prevalence rate drop from 29% to about 15.3%. Research evidence has continuously pointed at behaviour change as the only source of this decline, besides deaths and migration. More people have less sexual partners now than 10 or 15 years ago. After people observed their relatives, friends, workmates etc die of the disease they became more careful and have escaped falling into the same trap.
if people cannot practice self control then it becomes their own responsibility. if one does 120km/hr in a 60km/hr zone because he has a seat belt on and the car has full ABS and kills a person in the process, why should the courts of law not hold him/her responsible?

Posted by Willie | 27.04.09, 11:30 GMT

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What an article! To suggest that a 95% effective barrier to the spread of the disease should be ignored is irresponsible in the extreme. One reason for the 'wildfire-like' spread of HIV in Africa is that no precautions were made.

This article is typical of the trite manner in which that author treats his readers. The ‘with-us-or-without-us’ mentality. It may be a bridge too far for him, but some of us can read an article, or listen to a speech, and reflect on aspects that we agree with and others that we disagree with. This includes speeches by the pope and many others. But that the catholic church has blotted it’s copy book so many times before, some can be excused for writing it off as an effective authority.

Posted by Patrick D | 07.04.09, 16:42 GMT

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To Jean-Luc would you please back up your ideas on abstinence with facts. For my reading on the subject tells me the opposite. In Mozambique where the Catholic Church has been doing a right good bit of interferring in the work of other charities and confiscating of condoms HIV/AIDS infection rates are some 5-10% higher that neighbouring Zimbabwe and Botswana. All churches needs to stop interferring in the problems of Africa and if they are going to bother helping at all, stop the patronising idealogical imperialism and assist with real aid and diplomacy to help people furnish themselves for a better life.

You have to be wary of writers like Kevin Myers who bandy "liberal left" about generically in a rabid Jerry Falwell manner.

Sex education along with distribution of condoms is the only way to tackle this. Telling people condoms are bad and abstinence is good is not going to help Africa.

Posted by Conal Stewart | 07.04.09, 12:25 GMT

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Why should the Catholic church change with the times? Why are people questioning the right of the Pope to preach Catholicism?
Why should anyone be shocked by the Pope's most recent pronouncements about condoms? He is not the first Pope to preach Catholicism -- and is unlikely to be the last.

Preaching Catholicism. That is the sort of thing most Popes do.

Posted by John McMahon | 30.03.09, 14:56 GMT

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One other point i would add is that the HIV/AIDS rates have actually gone down in countries where the Pope's absitence strategies have been used because Africa is going through a religious revival and people are responding to the call. Catholic and Muslim lands have low HIV rates in Africa, while the protestant and secular countries in Africa have HIV rates approaching 40%. Why? They promote condoms instead of behavioural change.

Posted by Jean-luc | 27.03.09, 17:40 GMT

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Well according to the Pope, all sexual intercourse outside marriage between a MAN and a WOMAN is a sin. Therefore he is being slightly unrealistic and ignoring a significant proportion of people in the fight against AIDS worldwide. Churches need to change with the times, just as they did in the Bible. Remember when Jesus did work on the Sabbath, and everyone condemned him? He explained though that it didn't matter, because stupid rules are not God's intention. Do we really think that God only intended for us to enjoy any sexual pleasure just from sexual intercourse in a marital union between a man and a woman? I seriously doubt it!

Posted by BT | 27.03.09, 16:12 GMT

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I do wish this elderly gentleman would refrain from spouting his outdated views on us all. We had a Reformation and a scientific revolution to free us from all this stupidity. The Lancet is a reputable medical journal,

Posted by geezer | 27.03.09, 15:31 GMT

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