The Punter: Nadal has Federer’s number, whatever the surface
Rafael Nadal is the king of clay. Of that there is no quibble after he handed out another defeat to Roger Federer on this surface in taking his sixth French Open title.
The focus now switches to Wimbledon and, while grass suits the suave Swiss better, there's no reason why Nadal's dominance should not continue.
They have met three times in Wimbledon finals and the score is 2-1 in favour of Federer who won in 2006 and ‘07 before Nadal stopped the hat-trick the following year.
Since 2003, the pair have shared the glory in the world's most prestigious tournament, Federer winning from 2003 to ‘07 and Nadal wearing the crown in 2008 and again last year. Federer was champion in 2009 with Nadal absent because of injury, but recently the younger and stronger Spaniard has had the edge, no matter the surface.
One of them is most likely to win again, with only Novak Djokovic expected to provide a realistic alternative. Forget about Andy Murray. He can't bridge the gap between being a very good player and a Grand Slam winner and he never will, unless the other three are not involved.
Currently, Murray is 2-1 to go out in the semi-finals but I would take a chance on 4-1 that he departs in the quarters. Lay the 9-1 about Murray going all the way.
Nadal is currently a great price at 7-4 to repeat last year's French and Wimbledon double while the Fed is 9-4 for a seventh heaven.