Belfast Telegraph

Thursday 24 April 2014

The Punter: Not a done deal just yet for Dunguib

What are the bankers for Cheltenham?

Too many to mention if you listen to all the pundits and experts. Let’s just deal with each day as it comes and where better to start than with the first race today.

Dunguib, trained by Philip Fenton (pictured), is expected to get the Irish off to a roaring start in the Supreme Novices Hurdle — something that has happened 11 times in the last 17 years.

Winner of last year’s Champion Bumper and the Punchestown equivalent before being disqualified, Dunguib has never come off the bridle in any of his four hurdle outings this season including a Grade 1 novice at Leopardstown.

He is undoubtedly a class act but Cheltenham is different ‘gravy’ not only in terms of the pace of a race, also in ground conditions which will be no worse than good-to-soft and probably more good than soft.

However, even if you believe he’s unbeatable in this race, the value in terms of price has long gone and there is no point in taking 4-5 or 4-6 unless combining him in doubles and trebles with Master Minded and Big Buck’s or Kauto Star.

Dunguib can be taken at 2.02, (12/10) on Betfair.

There are two approaches to betting on this race. Either back something else each-way or bet on a straight single with Paddy Power up to a maximum of £200.

If Dunguib wins, then you will get your stake back, so it’s a bet to nothing, unless both Dunguib and your selection get done. But which one can better the fav or chase him home? Look no further than our own Tony McCoy on board Get Me Out of Here.

Like Dunguib, he is unbeaten in four hurdle races including the Tote Gold Trophy — a top handicap — at Newbury which earned him a rating of 150. That would be good enough to win most Supreme Novices.