Belfast Telegraph

UK Website Of The Year

Northern Ireland v Greece: Mathematician predicts outcome of crucial European qualifier

Published 08/10/2015

Michael O'Neill will be hoping his sums add up come kick-off in the Greece tie.
Michael O'Neill will be hoping his sums add up come kick-off in the Greece tie.

A mathematician has used a complex theory to predict the outcome of Northern Ireland's crucial European qualifier against Greece, and it's not great news for the Green and White Army.

Dr Steve Humble used the Poisson distribution theory to work out the outcome for Northern Ireland's Windsor Park clash against Greece.

Speaking to the BBC he explained how he examines the results and goals in the national team's history and all recent previous encounters with Greece.

Dr Humble said: "I can't claim to predict the future, but use mathematical techniques to make an informed decision about what the future may bring.

"And when you put the results into the Poisson distribution theory, it comes out as a 1-1 draw for tonight."

While the number-cruncher may have dampened the Windsor faithful's spirits, he has predicted the side win their remaining fixture against Finland on Sunday to take them to France next year.

Northern Ireland's destiny rests in their own hands.

The team need two points from their remaining two fixtures to book their place at next year's European Finals Championships in France.

If they do, it will end what will be a 30 year wait since their last appearance in a major championships.

However, nearest rivals, Hungary, would need to beat both the Faroe Islands and Greece to dump Northern Ireland out of the competition.

Online Editors

Your Comments

COMMENT RULES: Comments that are judged to be defamatory, abusive or in bad taste are not acceptable and contributors who consistently fall below certain criteria will be permanently blacklisted. The moderator will not enter into debate with individual contributors and the moderator’s decision is final. It is Belfast Telegraph policy to close comments on court cases, tribunals and active legal investigations. We may also close comments on articles which are being targeted for abuse. Problems with commenting?

Read More