belfasttelegraph

Tuesday 18 June 2013

The Punter: Healy 200-1 for repeat hat-trick

David Healy scored the best goal of his career at Windsor against Denmark and, once again, he will be the talisman for Northern Ireland in Las Palmas tonight.

We all know what the deft-footed maestro (pictured) did in the 3-2 win over Spain first time around - grabbed a magnificent hat-trick - and he is 200-1 to repeat that feat this evening.

That is a bit much to ask, but it would seem miracles were created for "Norn Iron". They need one tonight double-style as beating Spain must also come with Latvia triumphing over Sweden.

There will be no shortage of punting interest in both matches with Ladbrokes quoting 105-1 Northern Ireland to qualify for the finals in Austria and Switzerland next summer.

That's a better move than taking 7-1 for a Northern Ireland victory along with Latvia at 12-1 (Paddy Power) as that only works out at 103-1 for exactly the same outcome.

Spain are 3-10 to win the match with 7-2 for a draw. Also, they are 1-10 for victory with a draw no bet.

Much of course will depend on the team that the Spaniards, who have qualified, decide to put on the field.

Many of their stars, including striker David Villa, are likely to be rested.

For those who believe the Spanish will not be too bothered about this game, can have 8-13 about Northern Ireland with a two goals start which means Spain would have to score twice without reply to knock the wager down.

But it is a high risk strategy as the Spaniards are capable of running riot and will want revenge for being turned over in Belfast.

Those who think Nigel Worthington's boys will not be beaten, can have 2-1 which means a draw or Northern Ireland victory.

Spain are evens to be winning at half-time and full-time and the same price minus a goal on the handicap.

A tempting bet is Spain to be level at the interval and to win in 90 minutes which is 3-1.



England to draw home comfort

Steve McClaren will have been on his prayer mat giving thanks to Israel who gave England a more than fighting chance of making it to the Euro finals next summer.

There has been a surge of bets for England to beat Croatia tonight with the price having shorted up to 1-2.

But the draw at 9-4 is the best option as England only need a point and will go all out to protect that position.

Forget about all-out attacking play.

A look at previous stats shows a draw is the right call.

One only has to go back to the 2-2 World Cup draw with Greece at Old Trafford in 2001 when David Beckham saved the day.

Punters piled in on England who were as low as 1-5 only to suffer the agonies.

Croatia are 15-2 to beat England and bring about what would be the demise of McClaren.

England are not good at performing under pressure, indeed the opposite is the case.

In seven previous matches played by England in the last match of a qualification campaign with a place in the finals at stake, six have ended in draws.

The only exception was when hammering those all-time greats San Marino 7-1 in November 1993 to go through to the World Cup finals.

Get on for a 0-0 draw.

It suits the occasion as England will likely play with only Peter Crouch up front.



Midfielder can net the glory

A midfielder is even money with totesport to to score the first goal for England at Wembley tonight.

With Peter Crouch expecting to be a loner up front, the firm go 5-2 that a striker hits the net first.

Paul Petrie, totesport spokesman said, "As England are likely to play with five across the midfield, they will be looking for those picked to also supply a goal threat and with the likes of Steve Gerrard and Frank Lampard, that should certainly be the case."

The firm are also offering 4-1 that England will give their fans a rocky ride by needing to come from behind at anytime throughout the game to qualify.

Petrie added: "England needed to come from behind in that famous game against Greece and I am sure England fans would rather they didn't have to sit through a similar situation."

More than £1.5m has been traded on the match with Betfair where England are on the drift from 1.52 to 1.65 and those who took the 7-2 on Scot Carson being in goal, are about to collect as he will replace Paul Robinson while David Beckham has also been left out.