Belfast Telegraph

Tuesday 30 September 2014

Absent Pleasure fancied at Leicester

Absent Pleasure rates as a strong fancy to land the Iveco Stralis Conditions Stakes at Leicester.

Brian Meehan’s juvenile boasts some smart form and had been considered for some Group One events earlier in the season.

Those aspirations look a little lofty after his defeat in a nursery on his latest start but there was more to that performance than meets the eye.

He was sent off a short-priced favourite to oblige but a horrible draw in three took its toll and as the first two came out of 14 and 13 respectively, it was a huge effort to lose by only a length, giving upwards of a stone in weight away in the process.

He was the moral winner of that event and when you take into account the fact he beat the well-regarded Huntdown in his maiden, he is probably better than his bare rating of 95 suggests.

Michael Jarvis could win with the stable cat at present and every weekend he seems to be landing another big winner.

He runs Ghaidaa in the Iveco Eurocargo Fillies’ Conditions’ Stakes and on official ratings, she is 6lb clear of her nearest rival.

As that is Annie Skates who looks to have completely lost her way, Ghaidaa looks difficult to oppose.

The daughter of Cape Cross ran with credit in big-field Listed Handicap at Ascot recently, finishing third from a bad draw and a repeat of that should see her take all the beating.

Godolphin have hit a purple patch of late and Emirates Roadshow showed promise last time out to finish second to the highly-regarded Ra Junior at Newmarket.

That was a big step up on his first run, pulling three lengths clear of the third, and as he holds an entry in the Derby, it will be disappointing if he cannot win a race such as this.

Sir Michael Stoute has a 43% strike-rate at Newcastle over the last five years and it will be a surprise if Custody fails to get off the mark in the EBF/UTS Maiden Stakes.

Already gelded, he has finished second on his two most recent starts but looked unsuited by quick ground last time and should like this softer surface

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