Belfast Telegraph

Monday 28 July 2014

Grand National tips that have provided the last 20 winners

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The time has come to place your Grand National 2011 bets and one thing that should help in deciding who to back are the must have stats from previous races.

There are certain factors that make winning the Grand National possible and many of the Grand National field won’t meet all of those requirements. Grand National Guide have examined all the stats, so to cut straight to the chase and see the horses matching them best go to their Grand National trends page.



There are several must have stats that every single one of the last twenty Grand National winners have met. The Grand National is an extremely competitive race and as a result only the horses best suited to the demands of the race can win. The must have stats rule out horses who are not good enough, don’t have enough stamina, don’t jump well enough and don’t have enough experience to cope with the big field demands of the Grand National.



One achievement of the last twenty Grand National winners was to win a chase that was worth £17,000. That figure is thought of as the cut off for a race of a high enough class that needs to be won by a horse to be good enough to go on and win a Grand National, whether it be that season or in future years.



Another must have stat for the last twenty Grand National winners was to have won a race over fences that had twelve or more runners and to also have won a race over fences over a distance of 3 miles or more. The Grand National will have forty runners so winning experience in a race with at least twelve runners is necessary to prove a horse can handle at least some of the hustle and bustle that the Grand National provides whilst any horse that has not won at 3 miles or more is unlikely to gain his first staying success at a distance of 4.5 miles.



All of the last twenty winners of the Grand National had also proven themselves at least competent jumpers by not falling more than twice in their career. Preferably a horse will have no falls in their career and any horse can be forgiven at least one fall but three falls or more is unforgivable as far as the Grand National is concerned these days and no horse has fallen three times or more and then gone on to win the Grand National.



One stat that may eliminate as many horses as all of the above stats put together is that all the previous twenty winners of the Grand National had at least ten runs over fences. The more lightly raced horses are often the more progressive and most of the progressive horses tend to be near the head of the betting. Yet a certain amount of experience seems to be required to win the Grand National and it has been profitable in recent years to discount those with fewer runs than ten, that gets rid of a good few fancied runners this time around.



For more tips and a full list of grand national runners visit Grand National Guide.

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