Belfast Telegraph

IMF raises its 2017 growth forecast for 'buoyant' UK

By Kalyeena Makortoff

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its UK growth forecast for the second time this year, saying the economy stayed buoyant in the wake of the Brexit vote.

In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF said it now expects the UK economy to grow by 2% in 2017, up from January's forecast of 1.5%.

That puts the UK among the fastest growing advanced economies this year, trailing closely behind the US and Spain, which are expected to grow 2.3% and 2.6%, respectively.

"Growth... remained solid in the United Kingdom, where spending proved resilient in the aftermath of the June 2016 referendum in favour of leaving the European Union," the IMF said.

Britain's economy is then expected to slow to 1.5% in 2018 - though that figure was revised up from January's projections for 1.4% growth.

Chancellor Philip Hammond said: "The fundamentals of our economy are strong and we continue to invest in the skills needed for a stronger and fairer UK.

"In Washington this week I will be talking to our international partners about how we can carry on increasing global economic growth, with Britain again playing an active and engaged role in the global economy."

However, the IMF warned that Britain's economy is still likely to suffer as a result of Brexit.

It said that the economic projections for the UK "points to a more gradual materialisation than previously anticipated of the negative effects of the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union".

The Washington-based group said it expects a drop in household spending power as consumers grapple with rising inflation following the post-Brexit vote collapse of the pound.

Sterling's devaluation has raised import prices for businesses, which have started to pass on costs to consumers.

Last month, data from the Office for National Statistics showed household saving rates hit record lows of 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2016.

The IMF added: "Though highly uncertain, medium-term growth prospects have also diminished in the aftermath of the Brexit vote because of the expected increase in barriers to trade and migration, as well as a potential downsizing of the financial services sector amid possible barriers to cross-border financial activity."

Belfast Telegraph

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