Belfast Telegraph

Car production bump helped UK's economy get back on right road

Growth: Rob Kent-Smith
Growth: Rob Kent-Smith

By Henry Saker-Clark

The UK economy bounced back to monthly growth in May as a recovery in car production drove a rise in output.

Gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.3% in May in a marked rebound from a decline of 0.4% in April. But growth in the economy continued to slow in the three months to May, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Between March and May, GDP grew 0.3%, representing a slowdown from growth of 0.4% in the three months to April.

The month-on-month improvement was driven by growth in the automotive industry, as some plants returned to production following planned shutdowns intended to coincide with the original Brexit deadline in March.

Sterling climbed after the ONS revealed the return to growth, with the value of the pound rising 0.2% to 1.248 against the dollar. The UK also narrowed its trade shortfall with the rest of the world over the three months to May, driven by a fall in imports from overseas.

The total trade deficit in goods and services shrank by £4.6 billion to minus £12.6 billion after goods imports fell 2.9% against the previous quarter, the ONS said.

Meanwhile, exports of UK goods increased by 0.8% over the three-month period, buoyed by increased manufacturing exports.

May's overall GDP bounce-back, which comes after two consecutive contractions, was in line with analyst sentiment, with the return to growth predicted. Nevertheless, analysts predict that the jump will not be enough for the UK economy to avoid contraction in the second quarter.

Rob Kent-Smith, head of GDP at the ONS, said: "GDP grew moderately in the latest three months, with IT, communications and retail showing strength.

"Despite this, there has been a longer-term slowdown in the often dominant services sector since summer 2018.

"The economy returned to growth in the month of May, following the fall seen in April.

"This was mainly due to the partial recovery in car production."

The production sector jumped to 1.4% growth in May, following a fall of 2.9% in April after stockpiling efforts took their toll.

Growth in mining and quarrying also remained strong, with 1.6% growth for the three months to May.

In the construction sector, growth was flat for the three-month period, highlighting a marked slowdown from 1% growth in the period to April.

Belfast Telegraph