Brexit deal could ‘come apart’ at last minute, David Davis suggests
The UK must continue preparations for a ‘no deal’ withdrawal almost until the last moment, the Brexit Secretary has warned.
The Government will keep spending money on contingency plans for a “no-deal” Brexit until shortly before the planned withdrawal date of March 29 2019, in case a proposed transition deal falls through, David Davis has said.
Even if political agreement on the transition is reached at this month’s European Council summit, Mr Davis said that preparations for a no-deal outcome must continue until the plan is formally ratified – probably in the final weeks of this year.
His comment appears to put him at odds with Chancellor Philip Hammond, who told the Commons European Scrutiny Committee on Monday he expected to be able to “stand down” preparations for a no-deal Brexit once the transition deal is agreed.
With £700 million already spent on Brexit contingency planning, Mr Hammond told MPs he wanted to “make sure that we are not spending money on outcomes that have been effectively ruled out at any stage”.
It’s highly improbable, but always possible, that the deal will come apart at the end for some wholly unpredictable reason. A responsible Government has to be ready for that outcome, just as a matter of good practice David Davis
Crashing out without a deal in March 2019 would probably require significant investment, whether on additional customs officials or lorry parks at ports.
A transition deal would ease the pressure by giving businesses and authorities about two years to prepare for an orderly departure.
Any transition arrangement agreed at the March 22-23 summit would first have to be put into its final legal form before being sent in October to the UK and European parliaments for ratification.
But Mr Davis told the European Scrutiny Committee that the Government could not take for granted that a deal reached with the other 27 EU member-states in Brussels would come into effect as planned.
It would not be possible to “stand down” contingency preparations “until we have got to the point of agreement later in the year,” he said.
“It’s highly improbable, but always possible, that the deal will come apart at the end for some wholly unpredictable reason.
“A responsible Government has to be ready for that outcome, just as a matter of good practice.”
The Brexit Secretary played down the difficulties which post-Brexit customs arrangements might cause to companies like Airbus, which operates a “just-in-time” delivery system for parts moving between bases in the UK and continental Europe.
Airbus UK senior vice-president Katherine Bennett told the BBC on Monday that the company – one of Britain’s largest manufacturing employers – would decide very soon about stockpiling parts and may have to “think differently” about its operations if conditions were not right.
But Mr Davis said he had spoken to Airbus’s chief executive, and assured the committee: “Moving wings from the North-West and moving other components backwards and forwards, I don’t foresee that they would have a major problem there.”
The Government seems to think there's nothing to worry about, even when businesses say there is. These games have to stop. This example alone risks over 100,000 British jobs. #BrexitShambles https://t.co/vZ1Di936QR— Darren Jones MP (@darrenpjones) March 6, 2018
Labour MP Darren Jones, whose Bristol West constituency adjoins Airbus’s Filton plant, told the Secretary of State: “With respect, they wouldn’t have said they have a problem if they didn’t have a problem… They are still not happy and I suggest you have further conversations.”
Mr Davis also played down differences with the European Commission over arrangements for the Irish border, insisting that issues raised by Brussels were “largely resolvable” as part of a “pragmatic” agreement allowing tariff-free trade and mutual recognition of standards.
By publishing its fallback option of harmonising customs rules between Northern Ireland and the Republic before discussing the UK’s proposals in depth, Brussels was “putting the cart before the horse”, said Mr Davis, adding: “We’ve done quite a lot of building the cart.”