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Labour heading for historic victory in London, poll suggests

Politics professor says Jeremy Corbyn could record the best result of any party in the capital for more than 40 years.

Labour is set for the best performance in London local elections of any party for more than 40 years, according to a poll.

Jeremy Corbyn’s party enjoyed the support of 51% of the capital’s voters, a massive 22 points ahead of Conservatives on 29%, with 11% backing Liberal Democrats, in the YouGov survey for Queen Mary University of London’s Mile End Institute ahead of next week’s elections.

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London councils 1968 v 2018

But politics professor Philip Cowley said a three-point drop in Labour support since a similar poll in February suggested Tories would hold on to the flagship boroughs of Westminster and Wandsworth on May 3.

The poll suggests a 5.35% swing to Labour since the same seats were fought in 2014, down from 7.35% in February.

“Despite the small increase in support for the Conservatives, the Labour Party is predicted to do better than any political party has managed in London for over 40 years,” said Prof Cowley.

“Nothing in this poll indicates that next week will be anything other than a good night for Labour in London.”

Holding on to Westminster and Wandsworth would not be a sign of success for the Conservatives, but “merely the avoidance of utter disaster”, he said.

Mr Corbyn’s party led the poll not only in the more deprived inner city, but also in the traditionally Conservative-leaning suburbs. In inner London, 59% intended to vote Labour and 22% Tory, while in outer London, Labour led by 46% to 34%.

Council elections are taking place on May 3 in all parts of London, as well as more than 100 local authorities in the rest of England.

– YouGov questioned 1,099 London adults for QMUL from April 14 to 20.

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