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My confidence vote Twitter prediction wasn’t just Mystic Meg-ery, it was luck and guesswork

Jon Tonge


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Sir Graham Brady, Chairman of the 1922 Committee of Tory backbenchers, announces that Boris Johnson has survived an attempt by Tory MPs to oust him as party leader (Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire)

Sir Graham Brady, Chairman of the 1922 Committee of Tory backbenchers, announces that Boris Johnson has survived an attempt by Tory MPs to oust him as party leader (Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire)

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Prime Minister Boris Johnson addresses his cabinet ahead of the weekly cabinet meeting in Downing Street, June 7, 2022 (Photo: Leon Neal, WPA Pool/Getty Images)

Prime Minister Boris Johnson addresses his cabinet ahead of the weekly cabinet meeting in Downing Street, June 7, 2022 (Photo: Leon Neal, WPA Pool/Getty Images)

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Jon Tonge

Jon Tonge

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Sir Graham Brady, Chairman of the 1922 Committee of Tory backbenchers, announces that Boris Johnson has survived an attempt by Tory MPs to oust him as party leader (Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire)

Nothing like the offspring to end the brief basking in the Guardian’s ‘Mystic Meg’ label. “If you can see things, how come you can’t tell you are a complete loser?” was the youngest’s verdict.

The dangerous tweet on Monday forecast 211 votes for Boris Johnson (correct) and 147 rebels (actual figure: 148). See, I can’t even correctly count the number of Conservative MPs. And I didn’t even get a bet on, so wasn’t sure whether to laugh or cry when the result was announced.


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