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Bill White

Why the DUP can't keep marketing a negative at elections

Bill White


Poll results showing TUV surge a worry for Arlene Foster's party

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Concern: Our poll results should be worrying for DUP leader Arlene Foster

Concern: Our poll results should be worrying for DUP leader Arlene Foster

Kelvin Boyes / Press Eye

Concern: Our poll results should be worrying for DUP leader Arlene Foster

The big story from the LucidTalk (LT) Winter 2021 NI 'Tracker' poll is obvious - the DUP movement to TUV. Well, we assume most of the TUV surge is coming from the DUP drop.

This comes as we see that Sinn Fein have steadied the ship from their drop in the LT Autumn 2020 poll, and are now NI's leading party on 24%, - a lead over the DUP of 5%. The Alliance party seem to be consolidating their position as NI's third party (up two points), and frankly are now not that far behind the first 'Big two' parties i.e. DUP and Sinn Fein.

Of course, we always get the question, how can you tell this from a poll of just two thousand? Well, as always, we ensured that a good representative mix of all NI groups and demographics took part in the poll, and this included several hundred (actually 600+) DUP voters - rural/urban, young/old, middle class/working class etc, and from all over NI.


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