Belfast Telegraph

Northern Ireland v Greece: Mathematician predicts outcome of crucial European qualifier

A mathematician has used a complex theory to predict the outcome of Northern Ireland's crucial European qualifier against Greece, and it's not great news for the Green and White Army.

Dr Steve Humble used the Poisson distribution theory to work out the outcome for Northern Ireland's Windsor Park clash against Greece.

Speaking to the BBC he explained how he examines the results and goals in the national team's history and all recent previous encounters with Greece.

Dr Humble said: "I can't claim to predict the future, but use mathematical techniques to make an informed decision about what the future may bring.

"And when you put the results into the Poisson distribution theory, it comes out as a 1-1 draw for tonight."

While the number-cruncher may have dampened the Windsor faithful's spirits, he has predicted the side win their remaining fixture against Finland on Sunday to take them to France next year.

Northern Ireland's destiny rests in their own hands.

The team need two points from their remaining two fixtures to book their place at next year's European Finals Championships in France.

If they do, it will end what will be a 30 year wait since their last appearance in a major championships.

However, nearest rivals, Hungary, would need to beat both the Faroe Islands and Greece to dump Northern Ireland out of the competition.

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