Tips for Cheltenham Festival 2011
With twenty seven Cheltenham Festival races providing stiff opposition for punters, every piece of sound advice is crucial.
We have all heard the expression ‘horses for courses’ but how much attention should we pay to course form as we prepare our Cheltenham Tips?
Most runners will go into the Cheltenham Festival having had a run at Prestbury Park somewhere on their CV. It is sometimes difficult to weigh that up in terms of quality compared to Cheltenham Festival form, which is why looking solely for Cheltenham Festival form helps narrow the field further and also represents the best form available.
There were no less than 270 runners at last year’s Cheltenham Festival who had previously run at the Cheltenham Festival, some having already run several times. Not many people will have tried backing 270 horses last year, that’s an average of ten bets every race, but anyone doing so will have made 6.7% profit on their total stake (£16.77 profit from £1 staked on each horse). This shows the worth of going into the Cheltenham Festival with previous form but narrowing the field down further should prove more profitable.
Following horses that have previously run very well at a Festival narrows it down further. Last year there were 28 horses who had already placed at the Cheltenham Festival who went on to either win or place once again. Ten of those actually won their race including big priced winners Weapons Amnesty and Pigeon Island, who went off at 10/1 and 16/1 respectively.
One of the best examples of a race where proven Cheltenham Festival is key is the Champion Hurdle, which is the feature race on day one of the Cheltenham Festival. In the last ten runnings of the Champion Hurdle, every winner had not only previously run at the Festival, they had finished at least fourth at the Festival before.
All but one had run at the Festival the previous year and no horse had ever come worse than fourth in a race at the Festival, proving it is a real Cheltenham Festival specialists’ race. This is great news for Binocular this year who won the race last year and also Menorah who won the Supreme Novice’s Hurdle last year, very bad news for Hurricane Fly who has never even run in England before!
The Cheltenham Gold Cup sees three previous winners of the race renew rivalries, Imperial Commander who won the race last year is favourite whilst Kauto Star and Denman, who have three Gold Cups between them, are both in the top four in the betting.
The other well fancied horse is Long Run, he came third at last year’s Festival but has never won at Cheltenham which is a massive draw back for a Cheltenham Gold Cup runner, stick with the proven Cheltenham class in this race. Check out the latest Cheltenham Gold Cup odds here.