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Belfasttelegraph

News [1]
Opinion [2]
Business [3]
Sport [4]
Life [5]
Entertainment [7]
Travel [8]
Sunday Life [9]

Menu Sections

LucidTalk poll

The LucidTalk Northern Ireland tracker polls are published by the Belfast Telegraph on a quarterly basis.

Totting up the votes: Electoral staff check the ballots at the count centre in Magherafelt. Credit: Pacemaker

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Bill White Opinion Our opinion poll was not far wrong ... now can the politicians prove as effective?

Well, the Assembly election is over and the ballot boxes have been put away for a while. So, how did the polling connect with the actual results? Once again, we’re pleased to say LucidTalk got the results nearly spot-on.

Polling day: A woman gives an Irish wolfhound a treat as they wait outside a polling station. Credit: Charles McQuillan/Getty Images

Busy day at the polls as voters cast ballots in crucial election

A busy turnout was reported as voters took to the polls on Thursday in an election that could transform the political landscape.

The SDLP leader was the clear winner of the BBC Northern Ireland leaders’ debate, according to a LucidTalk opinion poll.

Snap LucidTalk poll finds Colum Eastwood the big winner in leaders’ debate

Colum Eastwood was the clear winner of the BBC Northern Ireland leaders’ debate, according to a LucidTalk opinion poll.

DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson (Picture by Kelvin Boyes/Press Eye)

DUP shrug off LucidTalk poll result, while TUV predicts it will receive even larger vote share

The DUP and TUV have both predicted they will out perform results predicted in Friday’s Belfast Telegraph LucidTalk poll.

Jim Allister. Credit: Colm Lenaghan/Pacemaker Pic Colm Lenaghan/ Pacemaker

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Jon Tonge Opinion Outside of big two, Alliance and TUV look set to make gains if polling proves accurate

Beyond the DUP versus Sinn Fein headlines, who is doing best of the rest in the LucidTalk-Belfast Telegraph poll?

Public vote: There are a relatively large number of people who have not made up their minds yet. Credit: Digital Vision

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Bill White Opinion Latest LucidTalk poll shows many Northern Ireland voters still undecided over transfers

The results of the last LucidTalk poll before next week’s election are in, and it shows similar patterns to our Spring poll.

DUP leader Jeffrey Donaldson at the party manifesto launch

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Suzanne Breen Opinion DUP has mountain to climb to overhaul much more subtle Sinn Fein

Sir Jeffrey Donaldson rose early to film his party’s election broadcast with DUP colleagues last month on Slieve Croob.

Sinn Fein's Vice-President Michelle O'Neill in Belfast earlier this month (Liam McBurney/PA Wire)

exclusive Sinn Fein remain on course to land First Minister position in latest LucidTalk poll

The DUP is failing to significantly narrow the electoral gap with Sinn Fein with less than a week until the Assembly election.

Tensions: A protest in Co Armagh by Border Communities Against Brexit. Credit: Niall Carson/PA

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Bill White Opinion Massaging of poll results borders on the ridiculous

Opinion polls are nearly always controversial, and opinion polls on Irish unity are even more so. Even so, the discussion around the latest results of another Northern Ireland border poll survey among some commentators on mainstream and social media was eye-catching.

Consummate professional: Conor Bradford. Credit: Kevin Scott / Belfast Telegraph

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Gail Walker Opinion There’s an easy way for BBC NI to defend its broadcasters against toxic sectarian slurs

How wonderful to hear Conor Bradford back on the Radio Ulster airwaves this week, albeit to take his formal leave of them. The energy in the studio instantly fired up. It felt reassuring but edgy. Here was a man with entertaining anecdotes told with trademark elan and self-deprecating wit.

Ukrainian refugees wait for a transport at the central train station in Warsaw, Poland. Credit: AP

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Revealed: One in seven people in Northern Ireland willing to host refugees escaping the war in Ukraine

One in seven local people have indicated they are willing to open their homes to Ukrainian refugees.

A Ukrainian serviceman walks near the wreck of a Russian tank on the front line in the Kyiv region, Ukraine March 28, 2022. REUTERS/Gleb Garanich

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Republic of Ireland should maintain its military neutrality, say three quarters of Sinn Fein voters

Three quarters of Sinn Fein voters want the Republic of Ireland to maintain its policy of military neutrality, a poll has found.

Ulster Unionist leader Doug Beattie speaking to the media with Julie-Anne Corr Johnston after a window was smashed in his constituency office in Portadown on Monday.

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Sam McBride Opinion DUP gains ground, but overall support drops for divided unionism

One statistic jumps out from the LucidTalk/Belfast Telegraph poll: the DUP’s support is up two percentage points, but the total support for unionist parties is down two percentage points.

Sir Jeffrey Donaldson leader of the DUP speaks to business leaders at the Northern Ireland Chamber of Commerce and Industry 5 leaders 5 Days event at the Europa hotel on Monday March 28, 2022. Picture by Peter Morrison

Sir Jeffrey ‘not anticipating defeat’ for DUP in election as latest poll has Sinn Fein in front

DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson has vowed that he is "not anticipating defeat" in the upcoming Assembly election.

Sinn Fein Stormont leader Michelle O'Neill. Pic: Jonathan McCambridge/PA Wire

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Bill White Opinion DUP running out of time to catch Sinn Fein but vote-shares don’t always translate to Assembly seats

The results are in from our Spring 2022 NI ‘Tracker’ poll, and we see that Sinn Fein are still comfortably in the lead as Northern Ireland’s largest party on a projected 26% vote share - up a 1% point from our Winter poll in January.

Alliance leader Naomi Long. Credit: Declan Roughan/Press Eye

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Jon Tonge Opinion Alliance on course to be third biggest party in the NI Executive

So beyond the big two parties, who wins on the election undercard?

John Finucane, Mary Lou McDonald, Michelle O’Neill and Michelle Gildernew

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Suzanne Breen Opinion With five weeks to go until Northern Ireland election, Sinn Fein remain in pole position

The DUP hasn’t quite reached the stage where it needs to pray to St Jude, the patron saint of lost causes.

Unionists’ number one concern is around commitment to the Union, cited by 61% of those surveyed. Credit: PA

Unionists more worried about NI Protocol than living costs, reveals LucidTalk poll

The future of the Union and opposing the Northern Ireland Protocol are more important to unionists than the cost of living crisis, a poll suggests.

exclusive LucidTalk opinion poll: Sinn Fein’s Michelle O’Neill nudges closer to top Stormont post as DUP lags behind

The DUP is failing to narrow the electoral gap with Sinn Fein, although it has strengthened its position within unionism as support for the TUV and UUP falls.

A woman entering a polling station in east Belfast

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LucidTalk boss defends election polling as a sign of Northern Ireland becoming ‘a normal society’

Whether you come to praise or bury opinion polls, there is no doubting the central position they are starting to occupy on the political landscape here.

The latest Lucid Talk poll (August 2021) puts it at around 71% in favour of their child attending an integrated school. (Danny Lawson/PA)

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Viewpoint Opinion Change has been a long time coming

In 1970 a major survey in Northern Ireland reported there was widespread support for integrated education in Northern Ireland.

Party leader Naomi Long. Credit: Jonathan Porter / Press Eye

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Jon Tonge Opinion Will Alliance’s moderate politics become a big deal in May?

As the Party Alliance gathers in Belfast today for its annual conference, how excited should attendees be for the looming date with the voters?

Ulster Unionist Party leader Doug Beatte. Credit: Liam McBurney

Integrated education campaigners throw down gauntlet to UUP

Campaigners supporting integrated education have thrown down a challenge to the Ulster Unionist Party for a public debate on the party’s stance on the Integrated Education Bill, due to have its final reading at Stormont next week.

Some 34% of unionist voters said the health service was the most important issue to them. Credit: Christopher Furlong

Poll: Unionists more concerned about NHS than Northern Ireland protocol

More than twice as many unionists rate the health service as a more important issue than the protocol, according to a new opinion poll.

Katy Hayward and David Phinnemore Opinion Do you understand the Protocol, and does it really matter anyway?

This week we publish our latest report on what voters in Northern Ireland think about the Protocol.

Election hopes: Colum Eastwood. Credit: Liam McBurney

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SDLP’s Colum Eastwood: ‘SF are focused on themselves and on securing jobs for their friends’

Colum Eastwood has accused Sinn Fein of focusing on selfish party interests rather than improving the lives of ordinary people.

Sinn Fein's Michelle O'Neill and party president Mary Lou McDonald hold a press conference at Belfast City Hall regarding the ongoing issues at Stormont and the Northern Ireland Assembly last week.

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Sam McBride Opinion When you get into the weeds, there’s a lot more to these polls than Sinn Fein becoming Northern Ireland’s biggest party

The results of the fifth poll – involving two pollsters with different methodologies – which puts Sinn Fein ahead of the DUP is highly significant.

Tough at the top: Jeffrey Donaldson after an anti-protocol rally at an Orange hall earlier this week

Sam McBride Opinion DUP is playing a very dangerous game that could end up devouring it

Last week there began an election campaign which the DUP and Sinn Fein hoped would be short, but will in fact be unusually long.

UUP leader Doug Beattie. Credit: Jonathan Porter / Press Eye

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Alex Kane Opinion Only an increased vote can strengthen hand of unionism

Until the ballot boxes are opened and the results known, everything about the coming election remains mere speculation. As ever, though, it will, like all elections, be a constitutional headcount: this one particularly so, because there is now a new border between NI and GB.

DUP leader Sir Jeffrey Donaldson said protocol issues have not been addressed (Peter Morrison/PA)

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Jon Tonge Opinion Gambling with future of NI politics will never pay off

To think that gambling used to be frowned upon by the DUP. The party has now bet big on Collapse in the Protocol Stakes. Given that gamblers win only one in seven times this is a big call.

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